2025年4月16日 星期三

就業市場「凍結」。這對受 DOGE 所傷的人來說不是好兆頭 (1/2)

 Recently Yahoo News on-line picked up the following:

The job market is ‘frozen.’ That’s not a good sign for DOGE casualties (1/2)

Alicia Wallace, CNN

Thu, March 27, 2025 at 5:52 a.m. PDT·4 min read

The Trump administration’s culling of government programs and agencies has resulted in an unprecedented wave of federal workers joining the ranks of job seekers — and new data shows a spike in job applications from agencies impacted by the Department of Government Efficiency.

Those job hunts are coming at a time when rising uncertainty around President Donald Trump’s economic agenda is clouding businesses’ decision-making and further slowing hiring — especially for specialized and white-collar roles.

They’re entering a labor market that’s “a little bit frozen,” but stable for now, noted Allison Shrivastava, an economist at the Indeed Hiring Lab.

That was underscored in new data released Thursday by the Labor Department: Initial claims for unemployment benefits aren’t spiking — in fact, they’re mostly unchanged from last week.

There were an estimated 224,000 initial claims for jobless benefits for the week ended March 22, a decline of 1,000 from the prior week’s upwardly revised tally.

The closely watched Labor Department report also showed that more federal workers are filing for unemployment than in the past; however, they aren’t escalating on a weekly basis.

The number of federal workers who filed initial claims under the Unemployment Compensation for Federal Employees program totaled 821 for the week ended March 15, that’s down from 1,066 filings the week before, Thursday’s report showed.

 

An ‘unprecedented’ surge in applications

Data released earlier this week from employment search site Indeed highlights an increase in federal workers searching for new jobs: In February, DOGE-adjacent applications rose 50%, ending the month at 75% above their 2022 levels.

It’s common after presidential inaugurations for there to be an uptick in job applications filed by federal workers — but nothing ever to this scale, Shrivastava told CNN in an interview.

“This is definitely unprecedented,” she said. “Not something we’ve seen before.”

“This is a very specialized group of people that are looking for jobs,” she said, noting jumps in unique keywords such as “horticulture,” “employee relations,” and “policy analyst.”

White-collar jobs have been harder to come by in recent years, and that’s largely due to the pandemic.

During that time, hiring soared in sectors such as technology, financial services and consulting as the global health crisis and low interest rates fueled remote work and altered consumer spending patterns.

However, what was expected to be a “new normal” eventually shifted back to more familiar, pre-pandemic activity. Technology firms were the poster children of over-investment: Workforce levels became bloated and, in some cases, layoffs soon followed.

(to be continued)

Translation

就業市場「凍結」。這對受 DOGE 所傷的人來說不是好兆頭 (1/2)

特朗普政府對政府計劃和機構的裁減,導致大量聯邦員工加入求職者的行列,而新數據顯示,來自受到政府效率部(DOGE)影響的機構的員工求職申請數量激增。

這些求職潮的來臨正圍繞特朗普總統經濟議程的不確定性日益增加,這影響了企業的決策,並進一步減慢了招聘 - 尤其是專業職位和白領職位的招聘。

Indeed Hiring Lab 的經濟學家Allison Shrivastava 指出,他們正在進入一個「有點凍結」但目前比較穩定的勞動力市場。

美國勞工部週四發布的新數據突顯了這一點:首次申請失業救濟人數並未激增 - 事實上,與上週相比基本上沒有變化。

到截至 3 22 日的一週,首次申請失業救濟人數估計為 224,000 人,較前一週向上修正後的數值減少 1,000 人。

備受關注的勞工部報告也顯示,申請失業救濟的聯邦工作人員數量比過去有所增加;然而,他們並沒有每個星期都在上升。

週四的報告顯示,截至 3 15 日的一週,根據聯邦僱員失業補償計劃首次申請失業救濟的聯邦工作人員總數為 821 人,比前一週的 1,066 人有所下降。

 

「前所未有」的申請人數激增

就業搜尋網站 Indeed 本週稍早發布的數據顯示,尋找新工作的聯邦工作人員數量有所增加:2 月份,DOGE 相關申請人數增加了 50%,至月底整月計申請人數比 2022 年的水平高出 75%

Shrivastava 在接受 CNN 採訪時表示,總統就職典禮後,聯邦工作人員提交的求職申請數量增加是很常見的,但從未達到這樣的規模。

說:絕對是史無前例的”; “我們以前從未見過這種東西。

她表示:「這是一群非常專業的求職者」; 並指出「園藝」、「員工關係」和「政策分析師」等獨特關鍵字的大幅增加。

近年來,白領工作越來越難找,很大程度是因為疫情的影響。

在此期間,由於全球健康危機和低利率推動了遥距工作並改變了消費者支出模式,而科技、金融服務和諮詢等行業的招聘激增。

然而,原本預計會成為「新常態」的活動最終卻回歸了人們更為熟悉的疫情前活動狀態。科技公司是過度投資的典型代表:勞動力規模膨脹,在某些情況下,很快裁員出現。

(待續)

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