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2026年7月29日 星期三

Ukraine's Civilian Casualties Exceed 2,200 in June: Highest in Four Years - UN

 Recently NHK News on-line reported the following:

6月のウクライナ民間人死傷者2200人超 過去4年で最多 国連

20267158:33

ウクライナ情勢

国連の人権監視団は14日、ロシアによる軍事侵攻が続くウクライナについて、先月の民間人の死傷者は2200人を超え、侵攻直後の20224月以降、月別で最も多くなったと明らかにしました。

国連ウクライナ人権監視団は14日、ロシア軍の攻撃によるウクライナの民間人の死傷者は先月、少なくとも2283人だったと明らかにしました。

内訳は死者が293人、けが人が1990人で、侵攻直後の20224月以降、月別で最も多くなったとしています。

死傷者が増加した背景について、人権監視団は都市部の人口密集地域への強力な兵器の使用が増えているためだとしています。

一方、ウクライナのゼレンスキー大統領は14日、SNSに動画を投稿するとともに、ロシア中部のバシコルトスタン共和国や南部のクラスノダール地方の石油精製施設を攻撃したと発表しました。

また、黒海に面する街、ゲレンジークでは、ロシア産の石油を運ぶいわゆる「影の船団」のタンカーなどを攻撃したとしています。

ゼレンスキー大統領は「戦争を終わらせなければならない」としたうえで、ロシアへの圧力を強化し、和平に向けた交渉開始を迫りたい考えを示しました。

Translation

Ukraine's Civilian Casualties Exceed 2,200 in June: Highest in Four Years - UN

July 15, 2026, 8:33 AM

Ukraine Situation

On the 14th, the UN human rights monitoring team revealed that over 2,200 civilians were killed or injured in Ukraine last month due to Russia's ongoing military invasion, marking the highest monthly toll since April 2022 when the invasion began.

 The UN Observatory for Human Rights in Ukraine announced on the 14th that at least 2,283 Ukrainian civilians were killed or injured in the Russian military attacks last month.

The breakdown was 293 dead and 1,990 injured, the highest monthly figure since April 2022 when the invasion began.

The Human Rights Observatory attributed the increase in casualties to the increased use of powerful weapons against densely populated urban areas.

Meanwhile, on the 14th, Ukrainian President Zelenskyy posted a video on social media announcing attacks on oil refineries in the Republic of Bashkortostan in central Russia and the Krasnodar Krai in the south.

It was also stated that in the city of Gelendzhik which was facing the Black Sea, attacks were made on tankers carrying Russian oil, the so-called "shadow fleet".

President Zelenskyy declared that "the war must end" and indicated his intention to increase pressure on Russia and force the start of peace negotiations.

              So, the UN announces that at least 2,283 Ukrainian civilians were killed or injured in the Russian military attacks last month, the highest monthly figure since the invasion begins. Apparently, Ukraine is breeding and needs more air defense system to protect its people.

2026年7月25日 星期六

[Analysis] What Does Trump's Announcement Regarding Interceptor Missiles for the "Patriot" System Mean for Ukraine?

 Recently CNN.co.jp reported the following:

【分析】「パトリオット」用迎撃ミサイルめぐるトランプ氏の発表、ウクライナにとって何を意味するのか

2026.07.09 Thu posted at 11:55 JST

CNN トランプ米大統領はウクライナに対し、防空システム「パトリオット」用の迎撃ミサイルの生産を許可したとみられる。これは二つの点で注目すべき動きだ。

まず、ウクライナはこれにより、米国が同盟国との共有を渋ってきた極めて機密性の高いミサイル防衛技術を利用できるようになる。数カ月前に米国から兵器供給の停止を言い渡されたウクライナだが、今や製造を許可される可能性が浮上しており、場合によっては、兵器を切実に必要とする米国や同盟国に一部を逆輸出する可能性すらある。

前途に待ち受けるハードルは多い。ウクライナは自前の生産ラインを構築しなければならないが、緊急の必要性や、ウクライナが何カ月も前からこの技術の複製を切望してきたことを考えると、スケジュールは大幅に短縮される可能性がある。

戦時下の国の動きは早い。ロッキード・マーチンやレイセオンといったパトリオットの製造メーカーは間違いなく、今回の取り決めについて疑問を持つだろう。これでは自社の持つ知的財産の商業的な将来性は、良く言っても薄められてしまう。ただ、ウクライナはドローン攻撃と迎撃技術の両面で世界をリードする実力を証明しており、新しいアイデアを素早く習得して大量生産を行い、現在の前線で優位に立ってきた。ウクライナがパトリオットを頻繁に使用することで、設計が改善されるかもしれない。

こうしたビジネス上の注目すべき動きから一歩引いて、トーンの大きな変化に注目してみよう。トランプ氏は昨年、ウクライナには切り札がないと主張して兵器の無償供与を停止し、自力購入を要求した。鉱物資源の譲渡を要求したり、情報共有を停止すると脅したりしたこともある。ところが今や、最も機密性の高いミサイルの製造を許可する意向を示し、ウクライナの攻勢でロシア政府に和平を強いることができる可能性に言及している。

これは驚くべき変化であり、クレムリン(ロシア大統領府)の耳にも届く可能性が高い。

Translation

[Analysis] What Does Trump's Announcement Regarding Interceptor Missiles for the "Patriot" System Mean for Ukraine?

July 9, 2026 (Thu) Posted at 11:55 JST

(CNN) US President Trump appeared to have authorized Ukraine to produce interceptor missiles for the "Patriot" air defense system. This would be a noteworthy development in two respects.

First, this would give Ukraine access to highly classified missile defense technology that the US had been reluctant to share with its allies. Several months ago, Ukraine, which was told by the US that arms supplies would be stopped, now had the possibility of being authorized to manufacture, and potentially even export some of the weapons back to the US and its allies that desperately needed them.

There were many hurdles waiting ahead. Ukraine had to build its own production lines, but given the urgent need and Ukraine's long-standing desire to replicate this technology, there was a possibility that the schedule might be significantly shortened.

Countries in wartime move quickly. Manufacturers of Patriot missiles, such as Lockheed Martin and Raytheon, would undoubtedly have doubts about this arrangement. At best, it diluted the commercial potential of their intellectual property. However, Ukraine had proven itself a world leader in both drone strike and interception technology, quickly adopting new ideas, mass-producing them, and gaining an advantage on the current front lines. Ukraine's frequent use of Patriots might even lead to design improvements.

Stepping back from these notable business developments, let's consider a significant shift in tone. Last year, Trump claimed Ukraine had no trump cards, halting free arms supplies and demanding they purchase them themselves. He also demanded the transfer of mineral resources and threatened to cut off intelligence sharing. Now, however, he's indicating his willingness to allow Ukraine to manufacture its most highly classified missiles and mentioning the possibility that a Ukrainian offensive could force the Russian government to make peace.

This was a surprising shift and was likely to reach the ears of the Kremlin (Presidential Administration of Russia).

So, there is a shift in tone in Trump. Months ago, he claimed that Ukraine had no trump cards, halting free arms supplies and demanding they purchase them themselves. Now, he's indicating a willingness to allow Ukraine to manufacture its most highly classified missiles and mentioning the possibility that a Ukrainian offensive could force the Russian government to make peace. It is interesting to note such changes.

2026年6月10日 星期三

President Zelenskyy Claims 590 Square Kilometers Liberated from Russia This Year

Recently NHK News on-line reported the following:

ゼレンスキー大統領「ロシアからことし590平方キロ解放」主張

202652320:38

ウクライナ情勢

ウクライナのゼレンスキー大統領は22日、ことしに入り、軍事侵攻を続けるロシアから590平方キロメートルを解放したと主張したうえで、反撃を強めるとともに、ロシア領内の石油施設などに対する無人機攻撃を続ける考えを強調しました。

ロシアによる軍事侵攻を受けるウクライナのゼレンスキー大統領は22日、ビデオ演説のなかで「ことしに入ってから、われわれの領土の590平方キロメートルが解放され、われわれの支配下に入った」と述べました。

そのうえで、支配された地域で反撃を強めるとともに産油国ロシアの資金源を断つため、ロシア領内の石油施設などに対する無人機攻撃を続ける考えを強調しました。

アメリカのシンクタンク「戦争研究所」は今月上旬の報告書で、去年11月以降、ウクライナ軍による反撃や輸送拠点への中距離攻撃などで、ロシア軍の進軍速度は「着実に低下している」と分析しています。

こうした中、ロシア南部クラスノダール地方の当局は23日、SNSで、黒海沿岸の都市ノボロシースクで無人機による攻撃があり、これまでに2人がけがをしたほか石油施設で火災が発生したと明らかにしました。

Translation

President Zelenskyy Claims 590 Square Kilometers Liberated from Russia This Year

May 23, 2026, 8:38 PM

Ukraine Situation

Ukrainian President Zelenskyy claimed on the 22nd that entering this year 590 square kilometers had been liberated from Russia's ongoing military invasion. He emphasized his intention to intensify counterattacks and continue drone strikes against oil facilities and other targets within Russian territory.

In a video address on the 22nd, Ukrainian President Zelenskyy stated, "Since the beginning of this year, 590 square kilometers of our territory have been liberated and are now under our control."

He further emphasized his intention to intensify counterattacks in the occupied areas and continue drone strikes against oil facilities and other targets within Russian territory so as to cut off Russia's funding sources as an oil-producing nation.

In a report released earlier this month, the American think tank, the Institute for War Studies, analyzed that the Russian military's advance had been "steadily slowing" since November of last year due to counterattacks by the Ukrainian army and medium-range attacks on supply bases.

Amidst this, authorities in the Krasnodar region of southern Russia announced on social media on the 23rd that a drone attack had occurred in Novorossiysk, a city on the Black Sea coast, injuring two people and causing a fire at an oil facility.

So, Ukraine claims that entering this year 590 square kilometers have been liberated from Russia. This suggestion matches the Institute for War Studies’ analysis that the Russian military's advance has been "steadily slowing". Apparently, Russia is facing difficulties in continuing with the war. I think the chance for the war to come to an end is increasing.

2026年4月28日 星期二

Up to 5,000 Cuban Fighters on Russian Side, US Report

Recently NHK News on-line reported the following:

最大5000人のキューバ人戦闘員がロシア側で参加か 米報告書

2026415日午後812

ウクライナ情勢

アメリカのニュースサイトは、ウクライナで最大5000人に上るキューバ人の戦闘員がロシア側について戦うなどして協力しているとするアメリカ国務省がまとめた報告書の内容を報じました。

アメリカのニュースサイト、アクシオスは14日、国務省がまとめた報告書の内容として、ウクライナへの軍事侵攻を続けるロシアを支援する外国の戦闘員の国籍で特定が可能なもののうち、キューバ人が最大規模のグループの1つとして浮上していると伝えました。

1000人から最大5000人が常時、ロシア側について戦闘に参加していると分析し、外交や政治面でも協力しているとしています。

一方、キューバ政府が戦闘員を派遣したかどうかは公開されている記録では確認できないものの、黙認したなどの兆候があるということです。

この報告書は、今月一部の議会の委員会に送付されたとしています。

アクシオスは、トランプ政権がキューバに対して政権交代を迫るための圧力を強めるなかで報告書の内容が明らかになったとして「キューバは、世界中でアメリカの国益を損なっている」と述べる上院議員の発言もあわせて報じています。

ロシア軍は、北朝鮮やアフリカなどから集めた兵士を投入し、不足した兵力を補ってきたとされています。

Translation

Up to 5,000 Cuban Fighters on Russian Side, US Report

April 15, 2026, 8:12 PM

Ukraine Situation

American news sites had reported on a US State Department report stating that up to 5,000 Cuban fighters were cooperating with Russia in Ukraine and fighting on its side.

The American news site Axios reported on the 14th that the State Department report indicated that, based on their nationality, Cubans were one of the largest groups of foreign fighters supporting Russia's military invasion of Ukraine,

The report analyzed that between 1,000 and up to 5,000 Cuban fighters were consistently participating in combat on the Russian side, and were also cooperating diplomatically and politically.

At the same time, while publicly available records did not confirm whether the Cuban government had sent fighters, there were indications that it tacitly approved the act.

This report was reportedly sent to some congressional committees this month.

Axios also reported that the report's contents came to light as the Trump administration increased pressure on Cuba to force a change of government, and quoted a senator as saying, "Cuba is harming American national interests around the world."

The Russian military was said to have been supplementing its troop shortages by deploying soldiers recruited from North Korea, Africa, and other regions.

So, American news sites have reported on a US State Department report stating that up to 5,000 Cuban fighters are cooperating with Russia in fighting Ukraine. Probably, this is the reason why Russia sent oil to Cuba to alleviate the oil shortage problem.

2026年4月16日 星期四

消息人士稱,烏克蘭無人機再次襲擊俄羅斯Ust-Luga港,其石油碼頭遇襲

Recently Reuters reported the following:

Ukrainian drones strike Russia's Ust-Luga port again, sources say oil terminal hit

Reporting by Reuters. Editing by Mark Trevelyan and Mark Potter

March 30, 202610:05 PM PDTUpdated 10 hours ago

MOSCOW, March 31 (Reuters) - Ukrainian drones on Tuesday struck Russia's Baltic Sea port of ‌Ust-Luga for the fifth time in 10 days, and industry sources told Reuters an oil loading terminal was hit, likely adding to Russia's difficulties in exporting crude.

Kyiv has stepped up attacks on Russia's oil export infrastructure over the past month, ​launching its heaviest drone strikes of the more than four-year war against the Baltic ports of Ust-Luga ​and Primorsk.

At least 40% of Russia's oil export capacity has been halted due to drone attacks, a disputed strike on a major pipeline and the seizure of tankers, according to Reuters calculations ​based on market data.

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy said on Monday that some of Kyiv's allies had sent "signals" about the ​possibility of scaling back its long-range strikes on Russia's oil sector as global energy prices have surged due to the Iran war.

TRANSNEFT OIL TERMINAL HIT

Regional governor Alexander Drozdenko said three people, including two children, were treated for injuries, and several buildings had ​been damaged in the overnight attacks.

In a message on Telegram at 0409 GMT, he said air-raid alerts ​in the region had been lifted but gave no details on damage to the port.

He later said that the aftermath ‌of the attack on Ust-Luga had been "eliminated" or dealt with. He said the supply of hot water and heating to residential and other units in the region were restored.

Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov called the strikes "terrorist attacks," adding that Russia was working on protecting its critical infrastructure.

"This doesn't mean these facilities can be 100% protected from ​such terrorist attacks. However, intensive ​work is being carried out, and this applies not only to the port ... but to all other critical infrastructure facilities," he told a daily conference call with reporters.

Three industry sources told ​Reuters Ukrainian drones struck crude oil loading facilities operated by Russian pipeline monopoly ​Transneft (TRNF_p.MM), opens new tab in the latest attack. Transneft did not immediately reply to a request for comment.

Ust-Luga, on the south-eastern shore of the Gulf of Finland, is a sprawling complex of oil-processing facilities and export terminals handling crude oil and oil products.

According to ​source-based data, the port exported 32.9 million metric tons of oil ​products last year. It typically handles about 700,000 barrels of crude oil per day.

Authorities say Ust-Luga was hit on March 22, 25, ​27, 29 and 31, forcing suspensions of export operations.

Translation

消息人士稱,烏克蘭無人機再次襲擊俄羅斯Ust-Luga港,其石油碼頭

莫斯科,331日(路透社) - 烏克蘭無人機週二第五次襲擊了俄羅斯波羅的海港口Ust-Luga,這是10天內的第五次襲擊。業內消息人士告訴路透社,一個石油裝卸碼頭遭到攻擊,可能加劇俄羅斯原油出口的困難。

過去一個月,基輔加大了對俄羅斯石油出口基礎設施的襲擊力度,對波羅的海港口Ust-LugaPrimorsk發動了這場持續四年多的戰爭中最猛烈的無人機襲擊。

路透社根據市場數據計算,由於無人機打擊,對一條主要輸油管道的爭議性襲擊,以及油輪被扣押,俄羅斯至少40%的石油出口能力已停止。

烏克蘭總統澤連斯基週一表示,由於伊朗戰爭導致全球能源價格飆升,基輔的一些盟友已發出“信號”,探索可能縮減對俄羅斯石油行業的遠程打擊的可能性。

Transneft的石油碼頭遇襲

地區行政長官Alexander Drozdenko表示,包括兩名兒童在內的三人因夜間襲擊受傷接受治療,多棟建築物受損。

他在格林威治標準時間04:09透過Telegram發布消息稱,該地區的空襲警報已解除,但沒有透露港口受損情況的細節。

他隨後表示,Ust-Luga襲擊事件所帶來的影響已「消除」或處理。他表示,該地區居民住宅和其他單位的熱水和供暖供應已恢復。

克里姆林宮發言人Dmitry Peskov稱這次襲擊為“恐怖襲擊”,並補充說,俄羅斯正在努力保護其關鍵基礎設施。

他在與記者的每日電話會議上表示:「這並不意味著這些設施可以百分之百免受此類恐怖襲擊。但是,我們正在進行密集的工作,這不僅適用於港口……也適用於所有其他關鍵基礎設施」。

三位業內人士告訴路透社,烏克蘭無人機襲擊了俄羅斯管道的壟斷企業Transneft公司(股票代碼:TRNF_p.MM)所運營的原油裝載設施,這是最近一次襲擊。Transneft公司尚未對此置評。

Ust-Luga港位於芬蘭灣東南岸,是一個龐大的石油加工設施和出口碼頭綜合體,處理原油和石油產品。

據可靠消息,該港口去年出口了3,290萬噸石油產品。該油田通常每天處理約70萬桶原油。

據當局稱,Ust-Luga分別於322日、25日、27日、29日和31日遭受襲擊,導致出口作業暫停。

So, Ukrainian drones have struck Russia's Baltic Sea port of ‌Ust-Luga for the fifth time in 10 days, likely adding to Russia's difficulties in exporting crude. Apparently, Ukraine has the capability to attack far way targets inside Russia.

2026年2月22日 星期日

Russia's GDP last year increased 1% year-on-year, the first significant slowdown in three years

 Recently NHK News on-line reported the following:

ロシア 去年のGDP 前年比プラス1 3年ぶりに大きく減速

202628日午前148

ロシア

ロシアによるウクライナへの侵攻が長期化する中、ロシアの去年1年間のGDP=国内総生産の伸び率は、前の年と比べてプラス1%となり、3年ぶりに大きく減速しました。

ロシア連邦統計局は6日、去年1年間のGDPを発表し、前の年と比べた実質の伸び率は、プラス1%となりました。

ウクライナへの侵攻後、巨額の軍事費が経済をけん引し、2023年と2024年は成長率がいずれも4%を超えていましたが、大きく減速しました。

戦時下の人手不足などで物価が上昇したため、ロシア中央銀行は、政策金利を現在16%と高い水準に維持していて、金利の重い負担が、消費の落ち込みや企業の生産活動の低迷を招きました。

また、戦費を調達するために増税も相次いで行われ、このうち日本の消費税にあたる付加価値税の税率は先月から2%引き上げられ、22%になりました。

モスクワの市民からは物価の上昇や軍事作戦への不満の声が聞かれます。

男性は、「価格も家賃も上がっている。特別軍事作戦、制裁、すべてが生活に影響を与えている」と話していました。

また、女性は、軍事作戦が物価の上昇に関係していると思うかとの質問に、「関係あります。だからみんな『いつ終わるのか』と言っているのです」と答え、早期の和平を望んでいました。

Translation

Russia's GDP last year increased 1% year-on-year, the first significant slowdown in three years

February 8, 2026, 1:48 AM

Russia

As Russia's invasion of Ukraine dragged on, Russia's GDP (gross domestic product) growth rate for the past year increased 1% compared to the previous year, being the first significant slowdown in three years.

On the 6th, the Federal Statistics Service of Russia announced GDP figures for the past year, showing a real growth rate of 1% compared to the previous year.

After the invasion of Ukraine, massive military spending drove the economy, and growth rates exceeded 4% in both 2023 and 2024, but had since slowed down significantly.

Due to rising prices because of wartime labor shortages and other factors, the Russian Central Bank had maintained its policy interest rate at a high level at 16% currently. The heavy interest burden had led to a decline in consumption and a slump in corporate production.

Also, a series of tax increases had been implemented to raise funds for the war, including a 2% increase in the value-added tax (VAT) last month to reach 22%, it was an equivalent to Japan's consumption tax.

Moscow residents’ dissatisfaction with rising prices and military operations could be heard.

One man said, "Prices and rents are going up. The special military operations, the sanctions, everything is affecting our lives."

When asked if she thought the military operations were related to rising prices, the woman replied, "It is related. That's why everyone is asking, 'When will it end?'" and expressed hope for an early peace.

So, Russia's GDP growth rate has increased merely 1% compared to the previous year.  Prices of commodities and rents are going up and affecting the daily lives of the Russian. Apparently, Putin is also facing the pressure to end the war.

2026年2月13日 星期五

俄羅斯利用星鏈系統提升其攻擊無人機的飛行距離

Recently CNN.com reported the following:

Russia is using Starlink to make its killer drones fly farther

CNN- By Ivana Kottasová, Daria Tarasova-Markina

Updated Jan 29, 2026

Russia has been mounting Elon Musk’s Starlink satellite systems on its attack drones to strike deeper into Ukraine, extending their potential flight range to well inside NATO territory, analysts and Ukrainian officials have said.

Ukraine has collected evidence of “hundreds” of attacks by Russian drones equipped with Starlink terminals, Serhii Beskrestnov, a military tech expert and adviser to the Ukrainian Defense Ministry, said on Thursday.

“(Attacks) not on military targets, but on peaceful rear and frontline cities. Including residential buildings. In fact, this is terrorism using modern peaceful communication technologies,” he said.

Adding Starlink allows Moscow to bypass Ukraine’s electronic defenses that disable drones by jamming GPS and radio signals.

Russia has previously got around these signal blockers by using drones controlled by fiber optic cables. But while these cannot be disabled electronically, their range is limited by the length of the cable.

Starlink-equipped drones have a longer range than radio and cable-guided drones and cannot be jammed. The superfast connection also makes it possible to control them in real-time from inside Russia, allowing them to be much more precise.

CNN has asked Starlink for comment, but received no answer. Under US sanctions, Starlink cannot be sold or used in Russia.

While other Russian drones and missiles can cover longer distances, they are a lot more expensive, larger and easier to detect and take down. A simpler drone equipped with a Starlink Mini, which costs between $250 and $500, can be much cheaper and as effective as the more advanced models that cost tens of thousands of dollars.

Beskrestnov, better known in the drone tech circles under his moniker Flash, shared a photograph of a BM-35 drone strike in Dnipro, saying that the Starlink-equipped drone can fly a distance of up to 500 kilometers (310 miles).

He said it was also likely that the deadly strike on a civilian train in eastern Ukraine on Tuesday was conducted with a Shahed drone equipped with a mesh radio modem or possibly a Starlink, given it was able to get through electronic defenses and was guided by its pilot to strike the middle of a moving train.

Earlier this month, Flash told the Ukrainian Public Broadcaster Suspilne that a swarm of Starlink-equipped Molniya drones was recently used to hit Ukrainian energy facilities in the Chernihiv region. The Molniya drones are very simple and cheap machines made with plywood, capable of flying dozens of miles.

He said that one in every three of the drones managed to hit its target because of the Starlink technology. “It is impossible to suppress (them) with electronic warfare. It can only be physically shot down if an anti-aircraft drone sees it and shoots it down,” he said.

He said on Thursday that more Starlink-equipped Molniya drones were used overnight near Pavlohrad some 50 kilometers (31 miles) from the front lines.

Bypassing jammers

Ukraine’s recently appointed Defense Minister Mykhailo Fedorov, who was previously in charge of drone development and procurement as the minister for science, tech and digital transformation, said that Ukraine needs to respond “very quickly” to the Starlink development.

“The enemy is constantly improving its drones and attack tactics to achieve its goals. Every day, a new risk emerges,” he said, adding that Russia launched over 6,000 drones in the past month alone. That is slightly more than in December and November, but more than twice the number recorded at the same time last year.

Fedorov said on Thursday that the ministry has contacted SpaceX, Musk’s company that owns Starlink, with proposals on how to stop Russia from using the technology.

He said he was grateful to “SpaceX President Gwynne Shotwell and Elon Musk personally for their quick response and for starting to work on resolving the situation.

Ukraine has become heavily reliant on Starlink since the beginning the war. The system is used by the military to communicate and operate drones, by the government as well as many civilians, businesses and public institutions including hospitals and schools.

The Institute for the Study of War (ISW), a US-based conflict monitor, said that based on the reported 500-kilometer range “most of Ukraine, all of Moldova, and parts of Poland, Romania, and Lithuania” are in range of the Starlink-equipped BM-35 drones if launched from Russia or occupied Ukraine.

Ukraine’s sanctions commissioner Vladyslav Vlasiuk said earlier this week that the growing use of Starlink by Russia shows that the sanctions pressure Ukraine’s allies put on Russia is “insufficient.”

CNN has previously reported on Russian troops bypassing the sanctions by buying Starlink systems in third countries and then using them along the frontlines. At that time, Starlink said that it would deactivate any terminal found to be used by a sanctioned or unauthorized party.

Musk himself did respond to criticism of his technology being used by Russia earlier this week when he was asked by Poland’s Deputy Prime Minister and Foreign Minister Radosław Sikorski on X why he doesn’t “stop the Russians from using Starlinks to target Ukrainian cities.”

Musk responded by calling Sikorski a “drooling imbecile” and saying Starlink was “the backbone of Ukraine military communications.” He did not address the question of Russia using the system.

Translation

俄羅斯利用星鏈系統提升其攻擊無人機的飛行距離

分析家和烏克蘭官員表示,俄羅斯一直在攻擊無人機上安裝馬斯克的星鏈衛星系統,以更深入打擊烏克蘭境內目標,及將其潛在飛行範圍擴展至北約領土內部。

軍事技術專家兼烏克蘭國防部顧問Serhii Beskrestnov週四表示,烏克蘭已收集到「數百個」俄羅斯無人機使用星鏈終端發動攻擊的證據。

他說:「(攻擊)並非針對軍事目標,而是針對和平的後方和前線城市,包括居民樓。事實上,這是利用現代和平通訊技術實施恐怖主義」。

加裝星鏈系統使莫斯科能夠繞過烏克蘭的電子防禦系統,該系統透過幹擾GPS和無線電訊號來使無人機失效。

俄羅斯先前曾利用光纖控制的無人機繞過這些訊號屏蔽裝置。雖然這些無人機不受電子干擾而失效,但其飛行距離是受制於光纖長度。

配備星鏈系統的無人機比無線電和光纖控制的無人機飛行距離更遠,且不受幹擾。超高速連接也使得在俄羅斯境內可進行實時控制,亦大大提高其飛行精確度。

CNN已就此事向星鏈公司尋求置評,但未收到回應。在美國制裁之下,星鏈系統是不得在俄羅斯境內銷售或使用。

雖然其他俄羅斯無人機和飛彈可飛行更遠距離,但它們價格更高、體積更大,也更容易被偵測和擊落。配備星鏈迷你版(Starlink Mini)的簡易無人機售價在250500美元之間,價格遠低於售價數萬美元的先進型號,且性能同樣出色。

Beskrestnov在無人機技術圈內以綽號「閃電」(Flash)更為人所知, 分享了一張BM-35無人機在Dnipro發動襲擊的照片,並稱這款配備星鏈(Starlink)系統的無人機飛行距離可達500公里(310英里)。

他還表示,週二發生在烏克蘭東部一列民用列車上的致命襲擊很可能也是由一架配備網狀無線電數據機或或可能是星鏈系統的“沙赫德”(Shahed)無人機實施的,因為該無人機能夠突破電子防禦系統,並在飛行員的引導下擊中了行駛中的列車中部。

本月初,「閃電」告訴烏克蘭公共廣播公司Suspilne,說最近有一群配備星鏈系統的Molniya無人機襲擊了切爾尼戈夫地區的烏克蘭能源設施。 Molniya無人機是一種非常簡單且廉價的機器,由膠合板製成,能夠飛行數十英里。

他表示,由於星鏈技術的應用,每三架無人機中就有一架成功擊中了目標。 他說:「用電子戰手段壓制(它們)是不可能的。只有當防空無人機能夠看到它並向它射擊,才能夠實在地將其擊落」。

他週四表示,在距離前線約50公里(31英里)的Pavlohrad附近,夜間又有更多配備星鏈系統的Molniya無人機被投入使用。

繞過幹擾器

烏克蘭新任國防部長Mykhailo Fedorov(此前曾擔任科技和數位轉型部長,負責無人機研發和採購)表示,烏克蘭需要「迅速」應對星鏈系統的發展。

他說:「敵人不斷改進其無人機和攻擊戰術以實現其目標。每天都會出現新的風險」,並補充說,僅上個月俄羅斯就發射了6000多架無人機。這比11月和12月略多,但比去年同期記錄的數量多出兩倍多。

Fedorov週四表示,烏克蘭國防部已與馬斯克旗下的SpaceX公司(該公司擁有星鏈計劃)聯繫,提出了阻止俄羅斯使用該技術的方案。

他表示,他非常感謝SpaceX總裁Gwynne Shotwell和馬斯克本人迅速做出反應,並著手解決問題。

自戰爭爆發以來,烏克蘭對星鏈的依賴程度日益加深。軍方、政府以及眾多民眾、企業和公共機構包括醫院和學校 都使用該系統進行通訊和操控無人機。

總部位於美國的衝突監測機構-戰爭研究所(ISW)表示,根據星鏈500公里的有效範圍,如果配備星鏈的BM-35無人機從俄羅斯或被佔領的烏克蘭境內發射,那麼「烏克蘭大部分地區、Moldova全境以及部分波蘭、羅馬尼亞和立陶宛的地區」都在其有效範圍內。

烏克蘭制裁專員Vladyslav Vlasiuk本週稍早表示,俄羅斯對星鏈的使用日益增加表明,烏克蘭盟友對俄羅斯施加的制裁壓力「不足」。

CNN先前曾報道,俄羅斯軍隊透過在第三國購買星鏈系統並將其部署到前線來規避制裁。當時,星鏈公司表示,將會令任何被發現由受制裁或未經授權方使用的終端裝置失效。

本週早些時候,馬斯克本人確實回應了俄羅斯使用其技術的批評。當時,波蘭副總理兼外交部長Radosław Sikorski X 平台問他,為什麼他不「阻止俄羅斯人使用星鏈攻擊烏克蘭城市」。

馬斯克回應稱Sikorski是“流著口水的白痴”,並表示星鍊是“烏克蘭軍事通信的支柱”。但他並未回應俄羅斯使用該系統的問題。

So, Russia has been mounting Elon Musk’s Starlink satellite systems on its attack drones to strike deeper into Ukraine. CNN has previously reported on Russian troops bypassing the sanctions by buying Starlink systems in third countries and then using them along the frontlines. At that time, Starlink said that it would deactivate any terminal found to be used by a sanctioned or unauthorized party. Apparently,  Starlink is important in conducting drone attacks.

2026年1月26日 星期一

一個中國島嶼成為俄羅斯遊客的陽光普照避風港(2/2)

Recently The New York Times reported the following:

On a Chinese Island, a Sunny Sanctuary for Russian Tourists (2/2)

Russians find a refuge on the beaches of Sanya from sanctions and “sideways looks,” toasting the New Year beside a Chinese nuclear submarine base.

China dispatch - By Andrew HigginsVisuals by Gilles Sabrié. Reporting from Sanya, China

Jan. 8, 2026

Updated 3:37 a.m. ET

(continue)

“Our countries have a lot in common,” said a Russian-speaking Chinese guide, who gave his name as Piotr, leading a group of Russians on a visit to a rainforest near the city of Sanya, a popular Hainan beach resort and also the site of a huge naval base for Chinese nuclear submarines.

Invoking a Chinese stereotype of Russians, he apologized that there would only be beer and no vodka at lunch.

The cultural affinity described by the guide is good for business. At his grocery store in Sanya, Dimitry Garifullin, a businessman from the Russian town of Ufa, sells the comforts of home to a growing clientele. But Mr. Garifullin said he has been struck by a different kind of affinity: the local reverence for his own country’s leader, Vladimir V. Putin. Not a fan himself, he said: “Most Chinese like Putin. They see him as a very strong politician.”

But it is Russia, he said, that should learn from China. “Everyone can learn from China,” he added, pointing to economic growth that, even though now far slower than when he first arrived in 2005, still puts Russia’s sickly economy to shame.

His store, stocked with black bread, pickles, cheese, frozen fish, sausages and shelf after shelf of alcohol, did a roaring trade over the New Year holiday.

Asked whether his business had benefited from the war in Ukraine, which has turbocharged Hainan’s Russian tourist boom, he said he did not like the idea of profiting from the suffering of others. He added: “The country that has made the most profit off the war is China.”

His store is in Dadonghai, a resort area near the naval base that has so many Russian visitors that restaurant menus, official notices and shop signs nearly all come with translations in Russian instead of English, the usual lingua franca of mass tourism. Chinese hotel staff in the area greet foreign guests with “ZDRAST-vooy-tye” rather than “hello” or “ni hao.”

Loudspeakers controlled by the local government along the beach at Dadonghai blare the folk classic “Kalinka,” and other Russian favorites.

For some Russian visitors, particularly those who take a dim view of their country’s sharp authoritarian turn under President Putin, China can feel stifling, even by Moscow standards. Anton Poltoushkin, an IT developer from Moscow on his first trip to China, said he had tried to talk to his Chinese tour guide about Taiwan but had been told that the topic was “too sensitive.”

“I talk about the Ukraine war so why can’t you talk about Taiwan?” he said he had asked.

Mr. Poltoushkin said he would have preferred to go to Europe but could not easily get a visa for himself, his wife and young son.

“I love the south of France but how can I get to Nice or Monaco now?” he asked. “I never thought I would end up here but we don’t have many choices these days,” he added.

The European Union in November decided to stop issuing Russian tourist visas that allow for multiple visits and mandated tighter scrutiny of all applicants. This further tightened restrictions on entry to Europe by Russian citizens that began after the start of the full-scale invasion of Ukraine in February 2022.

China moved in the opposite direction, allowing visa-free access for Russians to Hainan since 2024 and to the whole country since November, as it tries to revitalize the economy.

Raniya Terkulova, a retired doctor from the Russian region of Tatarstan, said she was on her fifth visit to Hainan. Her family has deep connections to China going back to the 1920s, she said, recalling happy Soviet-era memories of Chinese thermos flasks and other knickknacks. She added that she had for a long time “loved and admired China” and been a big believer in traditional Chinese medicine.

This trip, made with her daughter and granddaughter, however, ended the love affair. “I am very disappointed,” she said, recounting an angry clash on a beach with Chinese vacationers who she said had been rude and domineering.

Occasional culture clashes aside, most Russian visitors enjoy their time in Hainan for a simple reason: the weather. “It is now minus 30 degrees (-22 Fahrenheit) and snowing at home and here it plus 30 (86 Fahrenheit) and sunny,” said a cafe owner from the Siberian city of Khabarovsk who gave only her first name, Nataliya.

She said she used to go to Spain for sun but stopped after Russia seized Crimea from Ukraine in 2014 and the attitude of Spaniards toward Russians soured. “If they heard people speaking Russian in the hotel they wouldn’t clean their rooms properly,” she complained.

In China, she added, hotels are cheaper, and people don’t care about geopolitics, the war in Ukraine or other topics that rile many Europeans. “Chinese don’t spit at Russians like Europeans do,” she said.

Translation

一個中國島嶼成為俄羅斯遊客的陽光普照避風港(2/2

俄羅斯遊客在三亞海灘找到了避風港,躲避制裁和奇異的目光,在中國核潛艇基地旁舉杯慶祝新年。

(繼續)

一位名叫彼得會說俄語的中國導遊說道:「我們兩國有很多共同之處」。他正帶領一群俄羅斯遊客參觀三亞附近的熱帶雨林。三亞是海南島著名的海濱度假勝地,同時也是中國核潛艦的大型海軍基地所在地。

他基於中國人對俄羅斯人的固有印象,抱歉地表示午餐只有啤酒,沒有伏特加。

導遊所描述的這種文化親近感對生意很有利。在三亞的雜貨店裡,來自俄羅斯Ufa市的商人Dimitry Garifullin向越來越多的顧客兜售著家鄉的舒適感。但Garifullin說,他感到一種截然不同的親和力:當地人對俄羅斯領導人普京的崇敬。他本人並非普京的擁躉,他說: “大多數中國人喜歡普京。他們認為他是一位非常強勢的政治家。”

但他表示,俄羅斯應該向中國學習。 他補充道:「每個人都可以向中國學習」,並指出中國的經濟成長雖然遠不及他2005年剛到中國時的速度,但仍然令俄羅斯疲軟的經濟相形見絀。

他的商店裡擺滿了黑麵包、醃菜、芝士、冷凍魚、香腸以及琳瑯滿目的酒類,新年假期期間生意興隆。

當被問及他的生意是否受益於烏克蘭戰爭(這場戰爭極大地促進了海南的俄羅斯遊客熱潮)時,他表示,他不喜歡從他人的苦難中牟利。他補充說:“從這場戰爭中獲利最多的國家是中國。”

他的店舖位於大東海,這是一個靠近海軍基地的度假區,俄羅斯遊客絡繹不絕,以至於餐廳菜單、官方公告和商店招牌幾乎都有俄語的翻譯而非英語,而英語通常是大眾旅遊的通用語言。該地區的中國酒店員工用“ZDRAST-vooy-tye”(俄語,意為“你好”)而不是“hello”(英語)或“ni hao”(國語,意為“你好”)。

在大東海海灘,當地政府控制的揚聲器播放著民謠經典《Kalinka》和其他俄羅斯流行歌曲。

對於一些俄羅斯遊客,特別是那些對普京總統領導下俄羅斯急劇轉向威權主義感到不滿的遊客來說,他們即使以莫斯科的標準來看中國, 也令他有壓抑感。來自莫斯科的IT開發人員Anton Poltoushkin是第一次來中國。他說,他曾試圖和中國導遊談論台灣問題,但被告知這個話題「太敏感」。

他回憶他曾問:「我可以談論烏克蘭戰爭,為什麼你們不能談論台灣?」。

Poltoushkin說,他原本更想去歐洲,但他自己、妻子和年幼的兒子都很難拿到簽證。

他問:「我喜歡法國南部,但現在我要怎樣去尼斯或摩納哥?」。 他補充道:「我從沒想過自己會落腳到這裡,但現在我們無太多選擇」。

歐盟於去年11月決定停止向俄羅斯發放可以多次入境的旅遊簽證,並對所有申請人進行更嚴格的審查。這是對自20222月俄羅斯全面入侵烏克蘭以來,針對俄羅斯公民入境歐洲的限制進一步收緊。

中國則採取了相反的措施,自2024年起允許俄羅斯公民免簽前往海南,並於去年11月起允許俄羅斯公民免簽前往中國其他地區,以期重振中國經濟。

來自俄羅斯韃靼斯坦共和國的退休醫生Raniya Terkulova表示,這是她第五次到訪海南。她說,她的家族與中國有著深厚的淵源,可以追溯到上世紀20年代,她回憶起蘇聯時期那些中國產的保溫瓶和其他小玩意兒,記憶猶新。她補充說,她一直以來都“熱愛並敬佩中國”,並且非常相信中醫。

然而,這次與女兒和孫女的旅程卻終結了這段美好的情緣。當她回憶起在海灘上與中國遊客發生的激烈衝突,她說那些遊客粗魯無禮、盛氣凌人。她: 「我非常失望」。

撇開偶爾發生的文化衝突不談,大多數俄羅斯遊客喜歡在海南度假的原因很簡單:天氣。一位來自西伯利亞城市Khabarovsk的咖啡館老闆,她只透露了自己的名字叫Nataliya: 「現在家鄉零下30度(華氏22度)還在下雪,而這裡是零上30度(86華氏度),陽光明媚」。

她說,她以前經常去西班牙曬太陽,但自從2014年俄羅斯從烏克蘭手中奪取克里米亞後,她就不再去了,因為西班牙人對俄羅斯人的態度變得惡劣。她抱怨道: 「如果他們酒店裡聽到有人說俄語,他們就不會好好打掃其房間」。

她補充說,在中國,酒店更便宜,人們也不關心地緣政治、烏克蘭戰爭或其他令許多歐洲人憤怒的話題。 她說:「中國人不會像歐洲人那樣對俄羅斯人吐口水」。

So, unlike in many places in Europe, where Russians have learned to keep their voices down because of the war in Ukraine, the beaches of southern China offer a safe and sunny space for Russians. Some Russians feel that the country that get the most profit from the Ukraine war is China. Apparently, the war in Ukraine has affected the daily life of many middle-class Russian and also help tourism in China.

2026年1月25日 星期日

一個中國島嶼成為俄羅斯遊客陽光普照的避風港(1/2)

Recently The New York Times reported the following:

On a Chinese Island, a Sunny Sanctuary for Russian Tourists (1/2)

Russians find a refuge on the beaches of Sanya from sanctions and “sideways looks,” toasting the New Year beside a Chinese nuclear submarine base.

China dispatch - By Andrew HigginsVisuals by Gilles Sabrié. Reporting from Sanya, China

Jan. 8, 2026

Updated 3:37 a.m. ET

Gathered on New Year’s Eve in the banquet hall of a beachside hotel in southern China, tipsy revelers jumped to their feet to toast the arrival of 2026 — two hours early.

They were not befuddled by too much drink but wanted to celebrate the start of the New Year according to the time in Vladivostok, a Russian city two hours ahead of China.

Slurred cries went up, in Russian: “Happy New Year, Vladivostok! Happy New Year, Russian Far East!” Many of the partygoers — mostly Russians with a few Kazakhs and others from the former Soviet Union — drifted away from the hotel celebration before midnight, when the new year actually began.

Unlike in many places in Europe, where Russians have learned to keep their voices down because of the war in Ukraine, the beaches of southern China offer a safe and sunny space for Russians to behave as they would at home without fear of sideways looks.

Police officers who were out in force to prevent rowdiness broadcast warnings along beaches that fireworks were forbidden. But they stood by as Russian revelers, wobbling drunkenly in the sand, unleashed a barrage of Roman candles into the sea.

The number of Russian tourists visiting the tropical Chinese island has surged, fueling a local economy geared toward Russian tastes.

The number of Russian visitors to Hainan, a Chinese tropical island east of Vietnam in the South China Sea, increased 11 times between 2023 and 2024, making them by far the biggest group, buoyed by a visa-free policy and a hospitality that ignores the war in Ukraine. The Chinese authorities, perhaps fearful of alienating tourists from countries hostile to Russia, last year stopped releasing Hainan visitor figures by country. During the winter high season, the island receives eight or more flights each day from cities across Russia.

Too polite — and wary of losing good customers — to mention the rising death toll in Ukraine, Chinese whose livelihoods depend on serving Russian tourists work hard to make their guests feel comfortable and welcome, gushing about the friendship and shared interests of the two countries.

To make money and also make Russians feel at home, locals have opened fake copies of well-known Moscow restaurants like Chaihona No. 1, a popular, fairly high-end chain known for fusion food that blends Central Asian and Slavic cuisines. The knockoff version here is called Chaihona No. 9.

(to be continued)

Translation

一個中國島嶼成為俄羅斯遊客陽光普照的避風港1/2

俄羅斯遊客在三亞海灘上找到了避風港,躲避制裁和奇異的目光,在中國核潛艇基地旁舉杯慶祝新年。

在中國南方一家海濱酒店的宴會廳裡,醉醺醺的狂歡者跳起來慶祝2026 - 時間上早了兩個小時。

他們並非因飲酒過量而神智不清,而是想按照俄羅斯海參崴的時間慶祝新年的開始。海參崴比中國時間早兩小時。

含糊不清的俄語喊聲響起:「海參崴新年快樂!俄羅斯遠東地區新年快樂!」, 許多參加派對的人 - 主要是俄羅斯人,還有一些哈薩克斯坦人和來自前蘇聯其他地區的人 - 在午夜之前就離開了酒店的慶祝活動,而午夜才是新年真正開始的時間。

與歐洲許多地方不同,由於烏克蘭戰爭的影響,俄羅斯人學會了壓低聲音,而中國南方的海灘則為俄羅斯人提供了一個安全、陽光充足的地方,讓他們可以像在家一樣盡情狂歡,不必擔心別人的側目。

為了防止騷亂,警方部署了大量警力,並在海灘上廣播警告,禁止燃放煙花。然而,當俄羅斯狂歡者醉醺醺地在沙灘上搖搖晃晃地向大海發射一連串的羅馬煙花時,他們卻袖手旁觀。

前往這座熱帶中國島嶼的俄羅斯遊客數量激增,推動了當地經濟的發展,使其迎合俄羅斯人的口味。

2023年至2024年間,造訪中國海南島(位於南海,越南以東)的俄羅斯遊客數量增加了11倍,成為迄今為止最大的遊客群體。這主要得益於免簽政策以及當地對烏克蘭戰爭漠不關心的熱情好客。或許是擔心會疏遠來自對俄羅斯有敵意的國家的遊客,中國當局去年停止公佈海南島的遊客國籍統計數據。冬天旅遊旺季期間,每天有八個或更多航班從俄羅斯各地飛往海南島。

基於禮貌 - 也擔心失去忠實顧客 - 那些依靠服務俄羅斯遊客謀生的中國人不願提及烏克蘭不斷上升的死亡人數,竭盡全力讓客人感到舒適和賓至如歸,並熱情地談論兩國之間的友誼和共同利益

為了賺錢,也為了讓俄羅斯遊客感到賓至如歸,當地人開設了許多仿冒莫斯科知名餐廳例如「Chaihona一號」。 Chaihona一號」是一家頗受歡迎的高級連鎖餐廳,以融合中亞和斯拉夫風味的菜餚而聞名。這裡的仿冒品名為「Chaihona 九號」。

 (待續)

2025年10月17日 星期五

俄羅斯宣布部分柴油出口禁令實施至年底,汽油禁令延長

Recently Google News on-line picked up the following:

Russia declares partial diesel export ban until year-end, extends gasoline ban

Reporting by Reuters; Writing by Mark Trevelyan; Editing by Mark Porter

September 30, 202510:18 PM GMT+8Updated September 30, 2025

MOSCOW, Sept 30 (Reuters) - Russia has imposed a partial ban on diesel exports and extended an existing gasoline export ban until the end of the year, the government said on Tuesday.

Russia is facing fuel shortages after a spate of Ukrainian attacks on its refineries.

The measures were expected, as Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak had given advance warning of them last week.

The government said in a statement that it "continues to work to maintain stability in the domestic fuel market."

The gasoline export ban applies to all exporters.

The ban on diesel exports also includes marine fuel and other gas oils. It applies to resellers but not to direct producers of those fuels.

Experts do not expect the restrictions to have a significant impact on fuel flows onto the domestic market, however, noting that Russia already has a prohibitive export tariff for non-producers of diesel.

The measures reflect the success Ukraine has had in knocking out chunks of Russia's refining capacity via drone attacks. Russia is the world's third-biggest oil producer after the U.S. and Saudi Arabia.

Gasoline shortages have been reported in a number of Russian regions, including in the far east and in Nizhny Novgorod, east of Moscow.

Crimea, which Russia annexed from Ukraine in 2014, introduced gasoline rationing on Monday, saying motorists would be restricted to 30 litres at a time. It also imposed a price freeze, in an apparent attempt to minimise public anger over the disruption.

Translation

俄羅斯宣布部分柴油出口禁令實施至年底,汽油禁令延長

莫斯科,930日(路透社)俄羅斯政府週二表示,已實施部分柴油出口禁令,並將現有的汽油出口禁令延長至年底。

在烏克蘭對其煉油廠發動一系列攻擊後,俄羅斯正面臨燃料短缺。

這些措施在意料之中,因為副總理Alexander Novak 上週已提前發出警告。

政府在聲明中表示,「將繼續努力維護國內燃料市場的穩定」。

汽油出口禁令適用於所有出口商。

柴油出口禁令還包括船用燃料及其他氣油。該禁令適用於經銷商,但不適用於這些燃料的直接生產商。

然而,專家們並不認為這些限制措施會對國內市場的燃油供應產生重大影響,並指出俄羅斯已經對非柴油生產商徵收了高出口關稅。

這些措施反映了烏克蘭透過無人機攻擊成功摧毀俄羅斯大部分煉油產能。俄羅斯是繼美國和沙地阿拉伯之後的世界第三大產油國。

據報道,俄羅斯多個地區出現了汽油短缺,包括遠東地區和莫斯科以東的Nizhny Novgorod

2014年被俄羅斯從烏克蘭吞併的克里米亞於週一開始實施汽油限量,規定駕駛者每次只能加油30公升。此外,克里米亞也實施了價格凍結,顯然是為了平息民眾對這次受擾亂的憤怒。

So, Russia has imposed a partial ban on diesel exports and extended an existing gasoline export ban until the end of the year. These measures reflect the success Ukraine has made in disrupting Russia's refining capacity by drone attacks. Apparently, the war may go on for some time unless something pop up and upset the status quo.

2025年10月7日 星期二

特朗普稱基輔可以從俄羅斯手中奪回整個烏克蘭

Recently Google News on-line picked up the following:

Kyiv can win all of Ukraine back from Russia, Trump says

BBC - Ruth Comerford and Anthony Zurcher

24 Sept. 2025

US President Donald Trump has said Kyiv can "win all of Ukraine back in its original form", marking a major shift in his position on the war with Russia.

In a post on his Truth Social platform, he said Ukraine could get back "the original borders from where this war started" with the support of Europe and Nato, due to pressures on Russia's economy.

His comments came after talks with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky, held after Trump had addressed the UN General Assembly in New York on Tuesday.

Trump has repeatedly expressed his desire to end the war, but has previously warned that process would likely involve Ukraine giving up some territory, an outcome Zelensky has consistently rejected.

In his post, Trump added Ukraine could "maybe even go further than that", but did not specify what he was referring to.

He also made no reference to Crimea, which was invaded and annexed by Russia in 2014. Russia launched its full-scale invasion of Ukraine in 2022.

Trump said his position had changed "after getting to know and fully understand the Ukraine/Russia military and economic situation".

"Putin and Russia are in BIG Economic trouble, and this is the time for Ukraine to act," he added, labelling Russia as a "paper tiger".

Zelensky hailed the "big shift" in Trump's position, and speaking to reporters in the UN building, said he understood the US was willing to give Ukraine security guarantees "after the war is finished".

Pressed on what this would look like, he added: "I don't want to lie, we don't have specific details," but broached the possibility of more weapons, air defenses and drones.

Earlier on Tuesday, following his speech to the UN, Trump also said Nato nations should shoot down Russian planes breaching their airspace, following a series of recent incursions by Russian fighter jets and drones.

Last week, Estonia and Poland requested a consultation with other Nato members after Russia violated its airspace in separate incidents. Romania, another Nato member, also said Russian drones breached its airspace.

Russia denied violating Estonia's airspace, while it insisted the Polish incursion was not deliberate and did not comment on the Romania incident.

Asked if the US would support its Nato allies if they shot down Russian aircraft, Trump said it "depends on the circumstance" and praised the military alliance for increasing defence spending.

"Nato has stepped up," he said, referring to an agreement by leaders to ramp up defence spending to 5% of their countries' economic output by 2035.

In his speech hours earlier, Trump criticised some Nato members for not ceasing the purchase of Russian energy, saying they were "funding a war against themselves".

Tuesday's Truth Social post represents an about-face after Trump spent most of the year insisting that Ukraine's situation was dire.

In February, Trump told Zelensky during their fiery Oval Office exchange that he did "not have the cards right now" to prevail against a larger, more populous nation in a war of attrition.

Before talks with Russian President Vladimir Putin in Alaska in August, Trump said he would try to get some territory back for Ukraine but warned there would be "some swapping, changes in land".

There were reports he was planning to press Zelensky to surrender the entirety of the eastern Ukrainian regions of Donetsk and Luhansk in return for Russia freezing the rest of the front line - a proposal put forward by Putin in Alaska.

Trump has also repeatedly threatened to impose tougher measures on Russia, but has so far failed to take any action when the Kremlin ignored his deadlines and threats of sanctions.

Unpredictability has long been one of the US president's foreign policy trademarks, and perhaps this latest move is an attempt to shake up peace negotiations that have been stagnant for more than a month after Trump hosted Russian President Vladimir Putin at a summit in Alaska.

The most notable portion of Trump's post may be the way it ended - with an assurance the US would continue to sell arms to Nato that it could then pass along to Ukraine.

It is not the seemingly near open-ended commitment to the war effort that the Biden administration provided, but it is more than Trump seemed interested in offering at times this year.

Translation:

特朗普稱基輔可以從俄羅斯手中奪回整個烏克蘭

美國總統特朗普表示,基輔可以 奪回整個原有的烏克蘭 ,這標誌著他在對俄戰爭立場上的重大轉變。

他在自己的「真相社交」平台上發文稱,由於俄羅斯經濟面臨壓力,烏克蘭可以在歐洲和北約的支持下,奪回「戰爭爆發時的原有邊界」。

特朗普是在周二於紐約聯合國大會發表講話後與烏克蘭總統澤連斯基舉行會談後發表上述言論的。

特朗普曾多次表達結束戰爭的願望,但此前曾警告稱,這一進程可能涉及烏克蘭放棄部分領土,而澤連斯基一直拒絕接受這一結果。

特朗普在貼文中補充說,烏克蘭 甚至可能走得更遠 ,但沒有具體說明他指的是什麼。

他也沒有提及克里米亞。克里米亞於2014年被俄羅斯入侵併吞。俄羅斯於2022年對烏克蘭發動了全面入侵。

特朗普表示,他的立場「在得悉並充分理解烏克蘭/俄羅斯的軍事上和經濟狀上況後」發生了改變。

他補充說:「普京和俄羅斯正面臨巨大的經濟困境,現在是烏克蘭採取行動的時候了」。他也將俄羅斯稱為「紙老虎」。

澤連斯基對特朗普立場的「重大轉變」表示歡迎,並在聯合國大樓對記者表示,他理解美國願意在「戰爭結束後」向烏克蘭提供安全保障。

當被問及具體情況時,他補充說:「我不想撒謊,我們沒有具體細節」。但他提到了部署更多武器、防空系統和無人機的可能性。

週二早些時候,特朗普在聯合國發表演說後還表示,北約國家應該擊落侵犯其領空的俄羅斯飛機,此前俄羅斯戰鬥機和無人機近期多次入侵。

上週,在俄羅斯分別侵犯其領空後,愛沙尼亞和波蘭請求與其他北約成員國進行磋商。另一個北約成員國羅馬尼亞也表示,俄羅斯無人機侵犯了其領空。

俄羅斯否認侵犯了愛沙尼亞領空,同時堅稱波蘭的入侵並非故意,也未對羅馬尼亞事件發表評論。

當被問及如果北約盟國擊落俄羅斯飛機,美國是否會提供支援時,特朗普表示 視情況而定 ,並讚揚北約增加國防開支。

他表示: 「北約已經加大了力度」,他指的是各國領導人達成的一項協議,即到2035年將國防開支增加到各國經濟產出的5%

在演講幾個小時前,特朗普批評一些北約成員國沒有停止購買俄羅斯能源,稱他們「是在資助一場針對自己的戰爭」。

週二在「真相社交」網站上發佈的推文代表了特朗普態度的徹底轉變,此前一年大部分時間特朗普都在堅稱烏克蘭局勢嚴峻。

今年2月,特朗普在橢圓形辦公室與澤連斯基激烈交流時表示,澤連斯基手中「現在沒有牌」在一場消耗戰中去戰勝一個幅員遼闊、人口眾多的國家。

8月,特朗普在與俄羅斯總統普京在阿拉斯加會談之前表示他將努力為烏克蘭奪回部分領土,但警告稱,將會進行「一些土地交換」。

據報道,他計劃向澤連斯基施壓,要求其交出烏克蘭東部頓涅茨克和盧甘斯克地區的全部領土,以換取俄羅斯凍結剩餘前線 - 這是普京在阿拉斯加提出的建議。

特朗普也曾多次威脅要對俄羅斯採取更嚴厲的措施,但在克里姆林宮無視他的最後期限和製裁威脅後,特朗普迄今未能採取任何行動。

長期以來, 不可預測性一直是美國總統外交政策的標誌之一,或許這項最新舉動是為了打破停滯的和平談判。自特朗普在阿拉斯加會見俄羅斯總統普京後,談判停滯了一個多月。

特朗普這篇貼文最引人注目的部分可能是它結尾 - 他保證美國將繼續向北約出售武器,然後轉交給烏克蘭。

這雖然不像拜登政府那樣對戰爭努力做出看似無限的承諾,但這已比特朗普今年的間中作出的承諾來得多。

So, Donald Trump has said that Kyiv can "win all of Ukraine back in its original form", indicating a major shift in his position on the war with Russia. What is important is that he will continue to sell arms to NATO to pass them along to Ukraine. Trump’s foreign policy is often unpredictable, and perhaps this latest move is an attempt to shake up peace negotiations that have been stagnant after his meeting with  Putin in Alaska. Let’s wait and see what will happen next.