南韓再受攻擊可能性高

Recently the NHK News reported the following:
韓国の情報機関、国家情報院は、１日、北朝鮮が、ヨンピョン島への砲撃を受けて態度を硬化させているイ・ミョンバク政権に対し揺さぶりをかけるため、「さらなる攻撃に出る可能性が濃厚だ」という見方を示しました。

韓国の情報機関、国家情報院のウォン・セフン院長は、１日、国会の情報委員会に出席し、北朝鮮によるヨンピョン島への砲撃について報告しました。情報委員会は非公開で行われましたが、出席した国会議員によりますと、この中で、ウォン院長は、今回の砲撃の背景について、韓国が先月のＧ２０サミット開催を通じて国際的な地位を向上させたことへの焦りに加えて、権力の世襲やひっ迫した経済に対する北朝鮮国内の批判をかわす必要があったと説明しました。そのうえで、ウォン院長は、北朝鮮は、今回の砲撃を受けて態度を硬化させているイ・ミョンバク政権に対し揺さぶりをかけるため、「さらなる攻撃に出る可能性が濃厚だ」という見方を示しました。韓国軍は、北朝鮮の新たな挑発を抑え込むため、１日までアメリカ軍との合同軍事演習を行ったのに続いて、今月６日からは独自の砲撃訓練を実施する予定で、国家情報院では、北朝鮮の今後の動向に関する情報の収集と分析に全力を挙げることにしています。
In order to unsettle the political power of Imyonbaku in South Korea whose attitude had stiffened after Yonpyon Island received bombardment from North Korea, the intelligence agency, the National Information Academy in South Korea on the first showed the view that "The possibility of a further attack is high".

As an intelligence agency of South Korea, the director of National Information Academy Mr. Won Sefun attended the Committee on Information of the Diet on the first, and reported on the North Korea's bombardment at Yonpyon Island. Although the Committee on Information was a closed door meeting, according to Diet members who had attended, in the meeting Director Won explained that the background of this bombardment by North Korea was to shift the criticism in North Korea over the father-to-son power transfer, and its stringent economy, in addition to the haste improvement of South Korea's international position through the holding of last month's G20 summit. On top of that director Won, noting that North Korea was try to unsettle Imyonbaku's political power whose attitude had stiffened after the bombardment, showed the view that "The possibility of a further attack is high". In order to suppress new provocation from North Korea, for the South Korea army, it had scheduled its own artillery training to be carried out on the sixth of this month which followed the joint military exercise with the U.S. Army finished on the first of this month. As for the National Information Academy, it would do its best to collect and analyse information concerning the trend of North Korea in the future.

So, according to the experts in South Korea, the chance for them to receive further provocation is high.