2011年6月21日 星期二

國際貨幣基金指出日本和美國經濟有待改善

Recently the Yomiuri News reported the following:
 国際通貨基金(IMF)は17日、世界財政見通しを公表し、「多くの先進国で適切なペースで財政再建が進んでいる」と評価した。
 しかし、2011年、12年とも主要国で最悪の財政赤字を抱える日本に対しては、「より具体的な中期の財政再建策が不可欠だ」と指摘している。
 各国の物価水準を勘案して調整した購買力平価ベースで比較した。日本は東日本大震災に伴う税収減や補正予算による財政出動が見込まれるため、前回(4月)見通しより、国内総生産(GDP)比で11年が0・5ポイント悪化し10・5%、12年が同0・7ポイント悪化の9・1%となる見通しだ。
 米国は11年は景気回復に伴う税収増や歳出削減で同0・9ポイント改善して9・9%となるが、12年は同0・3ポイント悪化し7・8%と高水準が続く。このため、中期の財政再建策を早急にまとめる必要性を指摘している。
(試譯文)
On the 17th, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) made public its world financial projection, and evaluated that "In many advanced countries, fiscal reconstruction is advancing in an appropriate pace".
However, it pointed out that Japan as a major power had the worst fiscal deficit in 2011 years and also 2012 and that "A concrete mid-term fiscal reconstruction plan is indispensable".
It also compared each country's purchasing power parity based on the adjusted price level. For Japan in expectation of a decrease tax revenue due to the East Japan great earthquake and the increase in public spending by supplementary budget, when compared to last (April), it was expected that the gross domestic product (GDP) in the year 11 would see a deterioration of 0.5 point to become 10.5%, and 0.7 point deterioration to become 9.1% in year 12.
In the US, for year 2011, due to increase in tax revenue and cuts in expenditure as a result of the economic recovery, it would improve by 0.9 point to become 9.9%; for the year 2012 similar improvement in deterioration by 0.3 point to become 7.8%, with the high levels continuing though. Therefore there was a need to immediately bring a mid-term fiscal reconstruction plan together, it was pointed out.

According to the IMF, it seems that the financial situation both in Japan and the US needs further improvement.

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