Recently Yahoo News on-line picked up the following:
Analysis-India-Pakistan conflict offers rich intelligence
opportunity for China (2/2)
Reuters - Greg Torode
Fri, May 9, 2025 at 2:50 a.m. PDT·5 min read
(continue)
MISSILE DEPLOYMENTS
Chinese military intelligence teams would be eager to garner
information on any Indian use of air defences and launches of cruise and
ballistic missiles - not just in terms of flight paths and accuracy but command
and control information, analysts and diplomats say.
Any deployment of India's BrahMos supersonic cruise missile
- a weapon it developed jointly with Russia - would be of particular interest,
some analysts say, given they do not believe it has been used in combat.
China has also beefed up its intelligence gathering at sea.
It has been increasingly active in the Indian Ocean in recent years, with China
deploying space tracking ships as well as oceanographic research and fishing
vessels on extended deployments, open source intelligence trackers say.
Regional diplomats say that while the Chinese navy has been
relatively cautious about extensive warship deployments into the Indian Ocean,
still lacking a broad network of bases, it actively seeks intelligence with
these other vessels.
Over the last week, some trackers noted unusually large
fleets of Chinese fishing vessels moving apparently in unison to within 120
nautical miles of Indian naval drills in the Arabian Sea as tensions rose with
Pakistan.
Pentagon reports on China's military modernisation and
analysts note that China's fishing fleets routinely perform a coordinated
militia function that plays an important intelligence gathering role.
"These vessels may double up as listening posts,
tracking development rhythms and response patterns, feeding early warning,
naval intel to their sponsors," wrote open source tracker Damien Symon in
an X post that highlighted the deployment of 224 Chinese vessels near Indian
naval exercises on May 1.
Chinese officials do not usually acknowledge the existence
of fishing militia or intelligence work carried out by other nominally-civilian
vessels.
"The presence
of Chinese military advisers and other personnel in Pakistan is well-known
given how Pakistan's Ministry of Defence has been importing some of its most
advanced military hardware from China, so we can be certain the PLA would be
able to access relevant data," said James Char, a Chinese security scholar
at Singapore's S. Rajaratnam School of International Studies.
分析:印巴衝突為中國提供豐富的情報機會(2/2)
(繼續)
飛彈部署
一些分析人士表示,印度與俄羅斯聯合開發的「布拉莫斯」超音速巡航飛彈的任何部署都將引起特別的關注,因為他們認為該飛彈尚未用於戰鬥。
中國也加強了海上情報收集。公開來源情報追蹤者稱,近年來,中國在印度洋日益活躍,不僅部署了太空追蹤船,還擴展部署了海洋研究船和漁船。
地區外交官表示,儘管中國海軍對於在印度洋大規模部署軍艦持相對謹慎的態度,但由於缺乏廣泛的基地網絡,中國海軍積極與這些其他船隻尋求情報。
過去一周,隨著中巴緊張局勢加劇,一些追蹤者註意到,數量異常龐大的中國漁船隊似乎同步移動到距離印度海軍在阿拉伯海演習的 120 海裡範圍內。
五角大廈報告了中國的軍事現代化,分析人士指出,中國的漁船隊經常執行有協調的民兵職能,並發揮重要的情報收集作用。
開源追蹤者 Damien Symon 在 X 貼文中寫道:「這些船隻可能兼作監聽站,追蹤發展節奏和反應模式,向其背後支持者提供預警和海軍情報」; 該貼文重點介紹了 5 月 1 日在印度海軍演習附近有 224 艘中國船隻部署的情況。
中國官員通常不承認海上民兵的存在,也不承認其他名義上是民用的船隻進行情報工作。
鑑於北京與巴基斯坦深厚而廣泛的戰略關係,預計北京將充分利用其在巴基斯坦的特使和軍事團隊網絡來獲取關鍵資訊。
新加坡 S. Rajaratnam 國際研究院中國安全學者 James Char 表示: “鑑於巴基斯坦國防部一直從中國進口一些最先進的軍事硬件,中國軍事顧問和其他人員在巴基斯坦的存在是眾所周知的,因此我們可以肯定解放軍能夠獲取相關數據。”
So,
the recent conflict between India and Pakistan over
Kashmir will offer China potentially rich intelligence. It is believed that
China's military modernization has reached a point where it has the ability to
scrutinize Indian actions in real time on land, in the Indian Ocean as well as
from space. Apparently, the current conflict may offer China a rare opportunity
to see how effective is their military hardware.
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