Recently the Mainichi News on-line reported the following:
本紙世論調査:消費増税「賛成４６％」「反対４５％」
毎日新聞 2013年10月02日 22時25分（最終更新 10月02日 23時02分）
毎日新聞は１、２両日、政府が消費税率を来年４月から予定通り８％に引き上げる方針を決めたことを受けて緊急の全国世論調査を実施した。８％への引き上げに「賛成」との回答は４６％、「反対」は４５％で、賛否が拮抗（きっこう）した。東日本大震災からの復興財源に充てる復興特別法人税を１年前倒しで廃止する方針については「反対」が５３％に達し、「賛成」の３５％を上回った。安倍内閣の支持率は５７％で９月の前回調査から３ポイント減、不支持率は２６％で同３ポイント増だった。
消費税率を８％に引き上げることの賛否を男女別にみると、男性が「賛成」５５％、「反対」４１％だったのに対し、女性は「賛成」４０％、「反対」４９％で男女の賛否が逆転した。安倍内閣の支持層では「賛成」が６７％を占め、「反対」は２８％。内閣不支持層では「反対」が７５％だった。
ただ、復興特別法人税の廃止方針に対しては、内閣支持層でも「賛成」４５％、「反対」４５％と評価が割れた。不支持層では７３％が「反対」で「賛成」は１８％にとどまった。首相は１日の記者会見で「復興財源はしっかり確保していくことが前提だ」と強調したが、廃止に向けては、被災地を含め丁寧な説明が求められそうだ。
消費税収は年金、医療、介護など社会保障だけに使うことが法律で決まっており、首相も１日の記者会見で「社会保障にしか使わない」と明言した。しかし、今回の増税が社会保障制度の安定に役立つと思うかどうかを聞いたところ、「思わない」が５４％に上り、「思う」は３８％にとどまった。消費税率の８％への引き上げに「賛成」と答えた層では「役立つと思う」が６４％、「反対」と答えた層では「思わない」が８１％と対照的な結果になり、社会保障制度の将来に関するとらえ方が、消費増税の賛否に影響していることが読み取れる。
首相の経済政策で景気回復が「期待できる」との回答は４２％、「期待できない」は４７％で、安倍政権発足後の調査では、「期待できない」が初めて上回った。３月調査で６５％だった「期待できる」はその後次第に減少し、８月調査では５３％だった。消費増税に反対する層では「期待できない」が７２％を占めた。
(試譯文)
The Mainichi Newspaper on the first
and second of this month carried out an urgent national opinion poll in response
to the fact that the government had decided, as planned, to raise the
consumption tax rate from April next year to 8%. In the reply the "support"
was 46% while the "against" was 45%, the yes and no rivaled. About
the plan to abolish the special corporation tax for revival which would allot
revenue source for the recovery regarding the Great East Japan Earthquake by
advancing for one year, the "against" reached 53%, exceeding the 35%
"support". The approval rating for the Abe Cabinet was 57%, being a
three-point decrease from the last investigation in September. The disapproval
rating was at 26%, having an increase of the three points.
However, as for the abolition plan regarding the special corporation tax for revival, among the cabinet supporters, "support" was 45%, the "against" was also 45%. In the non-support group, in "support" was 73% while "against" was only 18%. At the press conference held on the 1st, although the prime minister emphasized that "it is a premise to firmly secure revenue source for the recovery", if it turned towards abolition, a careful explanation, including the stricken area, was likely to be called for.
It was decided to use consumption
tax revenues only for social security, such as the pension, medical treatment,
and health care in laws. At a press conference held on the 1st, the
prime minister also declared that "he would use it only for social
security". However, when people were asked whether they would think that
this tax increase was useful for the stability of the social security system,
"I do not think so" went up to 54%, and "I think so" was
only 38%. In the group which supported the raising of consumption tax rates to
8%, those answered "I think that is useful" was 64%. In the group
which was against, those answered "I do not think so" was 81%,
bringing a contrasting result. It could be read that related to the future of
the social security system, the way of handling had influenced the support or
against the consumption tax increase.
About the prime minister's economic
policy on recovery, 42% of the reply said "it is expectable" while 47%
said "not expectable". It was for the first time in an investigation
after the Abe Administration’s inauguration that "it is not
expectable" increased. In the investigation in March the "expectable"
it was 65%, it decreased gradually after that and was 53% in the investigation held
in August. Among those who were opposed to consumption tax increase, "it
is not expectable" occupied 72%.
It seems
that the Japanese were divided over the tax increase.
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