2014年8月15日 星期五

韓国民意調查: 感覺日本有軍事脅威

Last month the Yomiuri News on-line reported the following:
「軍事的脅威感じる国」2位に日本韓国側世論
20140710 2000
 【ソウル=豊浦潤一】日本の「言論NPO」と韓国の調査研究機関「東アジア研究院」が5月末から6月下旬に実施した「第2回日韓共同世論調査」の結果が10日、発表され、韓国側が「軍事的脅威を感じる国・地域」で、日本が北朝鮮に次ぐ2位だったことが分かった。
 回答は二つまでで、北朝鮮を挙げたのが83・4%。日本は46・3%で、3位の中国は39・6%だった。「日韓の軍事紛争が起こると思うか」との質問でも、韓国側は「数年以内に起こる」と「将来的には起こる」が計40・8%を占め、日本側の計9・2%を大きく上回った。日本の集団的自衛権行使容認をめぐる論議が、韓国で「戦争を可能にする」などと報じられている影響とみられる。

(試譯文)
On the 10th the result of the "Second Japan-South Korea common opinion poll" done by "Genron NPO" of Japan, together with a South Korea research study organization the "East Asia Institute", covering the period from the end of May to late June was released. It turned out that on the South Korea side, Japan was on the 2nd place, ranking second to North Korea as "a country or area which a military threat was felt".

The reply was limited to two, 83.4% mentioned North Korea, Japan was 46.3% and China at the 3rd place was 39.6%. As for the question "whether you think that a Japan-South Korea military conflict may take place", on the South Korea side those said that "it may happen within a few years” or "it may happen in the future"  occupied a total of 40.8%, far exceeded the 9.2%  in Japan. The argument involving Japan’s admission to exercise its right-of-collective-self-defense was regarded as influencing a reply that "a war is possible" etc. in South Korea. 

I think the possibility to have a Sino-Japanese military conflict is high. Japan is too busy to contemplate a conflict with South Korea at the moment. 

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