2011年1月1日 星期六

日本出生人口持續下降

Recently the Asahi News reported the following:

総務省は1月1日現在の人口推計をまとめた。この1年で新たに成人に達した2011年の新成人は124万人(男性63万人、女性61万人)で、総人口1億2736万人に占める割合は0.97%。総務省が新成人の人口推計を始めた1968年以降、初めて1%を割り込んだ。
 これまで新成人が最も多かったのは人口、比率とも70年の246万人(2.40%)。第1次ベビーブーム世代の49年生まれの人が成人に達した時だった。
 その後は減少。第2次ベビーブームの人たちが成人となった94年には207万人まで盛り返したが、95年以降は再び減少傾向が続いている。11年の新成人はピーク時のほぼ半数となっている。人口推計では、新成人は30年に95万人、50年には71万人まで減る見込み。
 一方、うさぎ年生まれの人は1008万人で、男性490万人、女性517万人。

On January 1 the Ministry for Public Management, Home Affairs, Posts and Telecommunications consolidated an estimate on the population. New adults in 2011 who had newly attained adulthood this year were 1.24 million people (630,000 men and 610,000 females), and this ratio represented 0.97% of the total 127.36 million population. It was the first time since 1968 when the Ministry started the new adult population estimate that the figure was reduced to below the 1% mark. Up to now, the highest new adult ratio was 2.46 million (2.4%) of the 1970. It was the time when the first wave of baby boomers born in 1949 had attained adulthood themselves. Afterwards there was a decrease. The decreasing tendency continued until 1994 when it recovered to 2.07 million people, it was a time when people of the second wave baby boomers became adults. After 1995 the decreasing tendency continued. New adult in 2011 was almost half of the number at the peak. According to the population estimate, new adult in 2030 was expected to be 950,000 people, and would decrease down to 710,000 people in 2050. On the other hand, people born in the year of the rabbit was expected to be 10.08 million, 4.9 million men and 5.17 million women.

Probably Japan could consider taking up more immigrants from overseas.

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